یکی از مسائل حوزه سلامت و تاثیرگذار بر رشد اقتصادی که کمتر مورد توجه قرار گرفته نسبتهای جنسی نامتوازن است که در بخشیهایی از جهان بهویژه چین، هند و تاحدی هم کره جنوبی وجود دارد.
درحالیکه بسیاری از کشورهای جهان بهدلایل بیولوژیک (این تمایل بیولوژیک وجود دارد که بچههای پسر بیش از دختر باشند تا مرگ و میر بیشتر در میان پسر بچهها را جبران کنند) با عدمتوازن ناچیری در نسبتهای جنسی نوجوانان روبرو هستند، عدمتوازن در کشورهایی مانند چین و هند حاد است و نشان از انتخاب جنسی پیش از تولد توسط والدین دارد- تمایل والدین به سقط جنین دختران براساس فراصوتهای پیش از تولد است. برای مثال، در چین و هند نسبت جنسی در زمان تولد تنها ۸۹۳ دختر بهازای ۱۰۰۰ پسر است و در کره جنوبی ۸۵۵ دختر به ازای ۱۰۰۰ پسر (برای کنیا و آفریقای جنوبی ۹۸۰ و برای کامبودیا و مکزیک۹۵۲ است).
در هند، نسبت جنسی نوجوانان (که غلب بهعنوان نسبت جنسی میان کودکان ۶-۰ سال تعریف شده است) طی ۴-۳ دهه اخیر بهطرز شگفتآوری کاهش یافته است. این نسبت از ۹۶۴ دختر بهازای ۱۰۰۰ پسر در ۱۹۷۱ به ۹۲۷ در ۲۰۰۱ رسیده است. این پدیده در حال حاضر شدیدتر شده و به ایالاتی مانند اوریسا، گجرات، ماهارشترا و تامیل نودار نیز رسیده که بهطور تاریخی نسبتهای جنسی متوازنتری نسبت به ایالاتهای شمالی داشتهاند. درواقع، همه ایالتهای اصلی به جز کرالا شاهد کاهش نسبت جنسی جوانان خود در فاصله ۲۰۰۱-۱۹۹۱ بودهاند. در چین، نیز این مساله در گذر زمان حادتر شده است. یک مطالعه مبتنیبر ۵ میلیون کودک در چین نشان داده است که در میان کودکان متولد در ۱۹۸۵ تا ۱۹۸۹ این نسبت ۹۲۶ دختر بهازای ۱۰۰۰ پسر بوده است. اما، در میان کودکان متولد در فاصله سالهای ۲۰۰۰ تا ۲۰۰۴ این نسبت به ۸۰۶ کاهش یافته است. بنابراین، در هر دو کشور، وضعیت در حال بدتر شدن است.
نسبت جنسی نامتوازن حکایت از ترجیحات فرهنگی قوی در میان والدین هندی و چینی برای پسران به زیان دختران دارد. کاهش نسبت جنسی نوجوانان/تولد در این کشورها موضوع نگرانی از سیاست گور است، نه تنها بهدلیل اینکه حقوق انسانی دختران متولد نشده و نوباوه را زیر پا میگذارد، بلکه بهدلیل اینکه این کشورها را از مشارکتهای بالقوه اقتصادی و اجتماعی زنان متولد نشده بیبهره میشوند. برخی برآوردها حکایت از ازدسترفتن ۱۰۰ میلیون زن در این دو کشور دارند. البته ارزشگذاری محصول اقتصادی ازدسترفته ناشی از نبود این زنان غیرممکن است، درحالیکه هنوز هم دستمزد زنان در بازار کار کمتر از مردان است شواهد زیادی وجود دارد که بازدهیهای پولی برای مدرسه رفتن زنان در حقیقت بزرگتر از همان برای مدرسه رفتن مردان است. شکی وجود ندارد که نرخ رشد اقتصادهای چین و هند اگر این زنان از دست نمیرفتند بیش از حال حاضر بود.
برای حل این مشکل چه باید کرد؟ مشخصا، غیرقانونی کردن معاینات تعیین جنسیت پیش از تولد و سقط جنینهای جنسی-انتخابی یک واکنش سیاستی مشخص است- که پیش از این در هر دو کشور اجرا شده است. متاسفانه، قوانین ممنوعکننده معاینات تعیین جنسیت چندان برای توقف وقوع سقط جنینهای جنسی-انتخابی بهکار گرفته نشده است. همانطور که الزام به اجرای این قوانین نیز ضعیف بوده، روزنههایی در قانون وجود دارد که به کلینیکها و پزشکان اجازه انجام معاینات تعیین جنسیت قبل از تولد را نیز میدهد. دلیل ریشهای نسبتهای جنسی نامتوازن ترجیحات قوی برای داشتن پسر در میان والدین است و جز اینکه این ویژگی تغییر کند، سیاست غیرقانونی کردن معاینات تعیین جنسیت احتمالا چندان موفق نخواهد بود.
ممکن است چنین بهنظر برسد که بهبود سوادآموزی و تحصیل در میان زنان شاید ترجیحات والدین برای داشتن پسر را کاهش دهد. بااینحال، شواهد امیدوارکننده نیست. شواهد آشفتهای از هند وجود دارد که نشان از بدتر شدن نسبت جنسی نوجوانان در کنار باسوادتر شدن و تحصیل زنان دارد. چرا این پیامد منفی؟ شاید یک توضیح پیامد منفی سوادآموزی زنان بر باروری این است که زنان آموزش دیده نسبت به زنانِ کمتر آموزش دیده تمایل به داشتن فرزندان کمتر دارند و در بافتار یک فرهنگ پسردوست، سطح پایینتر باروری منجر به فشار بیشتر برای داشتن پسران بهجای دختران خواهد شد. این رابطه میان کاهش باروری و کاهش نسبت جنسی نوجوانان نیز در کره جنوبی و چین مشاهده شده است.
علاوهبراین، شناخت این نکته مهم است که یک (اگرچه نه تنها) دلیل برای مرجح بودن پسر بر دختر این است که بهطور تاریخی قوانین وراثت در هر دو کشور پسران را بیشتر مورد لطف قرار داده است. درحالیکه حالا هر دو کشور دسترسی زنان به دارایی والدین را ممنوع نمیکنند، رسم و رسوماتی که پسران را وارثین طبیعی زمین میداند هنوز در بیشتر مناطق روستایی چین و هند رایج است. تنها هند اخیرا (۲۰۰۴) ملاحظات تبعیضی قوانین پیشین را حذف و به والدین اجازه داده تا دارایی خود را به دختران نیز تخصیص دهند.
آنچه در هر دو کشور برای مبارزه با بلای کاهش نسبت جنسی جوانان ضروری است عبارت است از یک بسته سیاستی که شامل الزامات شدیدتر برای ایجاد و اجرای قوانین ارثی برابرتر، انگیزههای اقتصادی برای والدین برای داشتن دختر و آموزش دادن آنها و داشتن یک برنامه آموزشی برای مدارس سطح ابتدایی و راهنمایی که اهمیت رفتار برابر با پسران و دختران را در خانواده برجسته سازد. حتی با وجود چنین بسته سیاستی، سالها طول میکشد تا این ویژگیها تغییر کند و انتخاب جنسی فرزندان توسط والدین و بیتوجهیشان به دختران از بین برود. بااینحال، مدیریت نسبت جنسیتی نوجوانان در چین و هند دههها طول میکشد. در غیر اینصورت گذار جمعیتی و دگرگونی اقتصادی آنها ناقص باقی خواهد ماند.
این مطلب ترجمهای است از مطلب سایت رشد اقتصادی. من پاراگرافی که چند کلمه اول آن را آبی کرده ام بسیار دوست دارم. این همان ترتیبات معکوس توسعه است که مورد توجه اقتصاددانی مانند آلبرت هیرشمن قرار گرفته و در کتاب پیش رفتن با جمع مثالهایی به مراتب زیباتر و متفاوت تر ارائه می کند. به گمان همین مسائل است که مساله اقتصاد توسعه را جذاب می سازد.
نسبتهای جنسی و رشد اقتصادی
۱۸۵ Responses to “نسبتهای جنسی و رشد اقتصادی”
کتابهای من
نچه در هر دو کشور برای مبارزه با بلای کاهش نسبت جنسی جوانان ضروری است عبارت است از یک بسته سیاستی که شامل الزامات شدیدتر برای ایجاد و اجرای قوانین ارثی برابرتر، انگیزههای اقتصادی برای والدین برای داشتن دختر و آموزش دادن آنها و داشتن یک برنامه آموزشی برای مدارس سطح ابتدایی و راهنمایی که اهمیت رفتار برابر با پسران و دختران را در خانواده برجسته سازد.
خوب این بسته سیاستی خیلی خوب است و … اما مشکل اینجا است که کسانی که قرار است خودشان این بسته های پیشنهادی را ارائه کنند ماحصل همین فرهنگ و همین جامعه هستند چه بسا مقاومت جمعی صورت بگیرد در مورد اجرای این مدل قوانین و باز دور باطل و …
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The new Zune browser is surprisingly good, but not as good as the iPod’s. It works well, but isn’t as fast as Safari, and has a clunkier interface. If you occasionally plan on using the web browser that’s not an issue, but if you’re planning to browse the web alot from your PMP then the iPod’s larger screen and better browser may be important.
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If you’re still on the fence: grab your favorite earphones, head down to a Best Buy and ask to plug them into a Zune then an iPod and see which one sounds better to you, and which interface makes you smile more. Then you’ll know which is right for you.
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This is getting a bit more subjective, but I much prefer the Zune Marketplace. The interface is colorful, has more flair, and some cool features like ‘Mixview’ that let you quickly see related albums, songs, or other users related to what you’re listening to. Clicking on one of those will center on that item, and another set of “neighbors” will come into view, allowing you to navigate around exploring by similar artists, songs, or users. Speaking of users, the Zune “Social” is also great fun, letting you find others with shared tastes and becoming friends with them. You then can listen to a playlist created based on an amalgamation of what all your friends are listening to, which is also enjoyable. Those concerned with privacy will be relieved to know you can prevent the public from seeing your personal listening habits if you so choose.
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Zune and iPod: Most people compare the Zune to the Touch, but after seeing how slim and surprisingly small and light it is, I consider it to be a rather unique hybrid that combines qualities of both the Touch and the Nano. It’s very colorful and lovely OLED screen is slightly smaller than the touch screen, but the player itself feels quite a bit smaller and lighter. It weighs about 2/3 as much, and is noticeably smaller in width and height, while being just a hair thicker.
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I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)
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I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)
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Hands down, Apple’s app store wins by a mile. It’s a huge selection of all sorts of apps vs a rather sad selection of a handful for Zune. Microsoft has plans, especially in the realm of games, but I’m not sure I’d want to bet on the future if this aspect is important to you. The iPod is a much better choice in that case.
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Sorry for the huge review, but I’m really loving the new Zune, and hope this, as well as the excellent reviews some other people have written, will help you decide if it’s the right choice for you.
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Zune and iPod: Most people compare the Zune to the Touch, but after seeing how slim and surprisingly small and light it is, I consider it to be a rather unique hybrid that combines qualities of both the Touch and the Nano. It’s very colorful and lovely OLED screen is slightly smaller than the touch screen, but the player itself feels quite a bit smaller and lighter. It weighs about 2/3 as much, and is noticeably smaller in width and height, while being just a hair thicker.
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Apple now has Rhapsody as an app, which is a great start, but it is currently hampered by the inability to store locally on your iPod, and has a dismal 64kbps bit rate. If this changes, then it will somewhat negate this advantage for the Zune, but the 10 songs per month will still be a big plus in Zune Pass’ favor.
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I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)
This is getting a bit more subjective, but I much prefer the Zune Marketplace. The interface is colorful, has more flair, and some cool features like ‘Mixview’ that let you quickly see related albums, songs, or other users related to what you’re listening to. Clicking on one of those will center on that item, and another set of “neighbors” will come into view, allowing you to navigate around exploring by similar artists, songs, or users. Speaking of users, the Zune “Social” is also great fun, letting you find others with shared tastes and becoming friends with them. You then can listen to a playlist created based on an amalgamation of what all your friends are listening to, which is also enjoyable. Those concerned with privacy will be relieved to know you can prevent the public from seeing your personal listening habits if you so choose.
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Between me and my husband we’ve owned more MP3 players over the years than I can count, including Sansas, iRivers, iPods (classic & touch), the Ibiza Rhapsody, etc. But, the last few years I’ve settled down to one line of players. Why? Because I was happy to discover how well-designed and fun to use the underappreciated (and widely mocked) Zunes are.
Zune and iPod: Most people compare the Zune to the Touch, but after seeing how slim and surprisingly small and light it is, I consider it to be a rather unique hybrid that combines qualities of both the Touch and the Nano. It’s very colorful and lovely OLED screen is slightly smaller than the touch screen, but the player itself feels quite a bit smaller and lighter. It weighs about 2/3 as much, and is noticeably smaller in width and height, while being just a hair thicker.
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Between me and my husband we’ve owned more MP3 players over the years than I can count, including Sansas, iRivers, iPods (classic & touch), the Ibiza Rhapsody, etc. But, the last few years I’ve settled down to one line of players. Why? Because I was happy to discover how well-designed and fun to use the underappreciated (and widely mocked) Zunes are.
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Between me and my husband we’ve owned more MP3 players over the years than I can count, including Sansas, iRivers, iPods (classic & touch), the Ibiza Rhapsody, etc. But, the last few years I’ve settled down to one line of players. Why? Because I was happy to discover how well-designed and fun to use the underappreciated (and widely mocked) Zunes are.
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The Zune concentrates on being a Portable Media Player. Not a web browser. Not a game machine. Maybe in the future it’ll do even better in those areas, but for now it’s a fantastic way to organize and listen to your music and videos, and is without peer in that regard. The iPod’s strengths are its web browsing and apps. If those sound more compelling, perhaps it is your best choice.
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Hands down, Apple’s app store wins by a mile. It’s a huge selection of all sorts of apps vs a rather sad selection of a handful for Zune. Microsoft has plans, especially in the realm of games, but I’m not sure I’d want to bet on the future if this aspect is important to you. The iPod is a much better choice in that case.
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I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)
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The new Zune browser is surprisingly good, but not as good as the iPod’s. It works well, but isn’t as fast as Safari, and has a clunkier interface. If you occasionally plan on using the web browser that’s not an issue, but if you’re planning to browse the web alot from your PMP then the iPod’s larger screen and better browser may be important.
Hands down, Apple’s app store wins by a mile. It’s a huge selection of all sorts of apps vs a rather sad selection of a handful for Zune. Microsoft has plans, especially in the realm of games, but I’m not sure I’d want to bet on the future if this aspect is important to you. The iPod is a much better choice in that case.
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The brand new Zune browser is remarkably good, although not just like the iPod’s. It really works well, but is not as quickly as Safari, and it has a clunkier interface. Should you from time to time intend on while using internet browser that isn’t an problem, but when you are likely to see the web alot out of your PMP then your iPod’s bigger screen and browser might be important.
If you’re still on the fence: grab your favorite earphones, head down to a Best Buy and ask to plug them into a Zune then an iPod and see which one sounds better to you, and which interface makes you smile more. Then you’ll know which is right for you.
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Sorry for the huge review, but I’m really loving the new Zune, and hope this, as well as the excellent reviews some other people have written, will help you decide if it’s the right choice for you.
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